Energy Transition and Geoeconomic Fragmentation : Implications for Climate Scenario Design /

The transition to a low-carbon economy, which is needed to mitigate climate change and meet the Paris Agreement temperature goals, has been affected by the supply chain and energy supply disruptions that originated during the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the subsequent ene...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Gardes-Landolfini, Charlotte
Other Authors: Grippa, Pierpaolo, Oman, William, Yu, Sha
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2023
Series:IMF eLibrary
Staff Climate Notes; Staff Climate Note No 2023/003
Subjects:
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245 1 0 |a Energy Transition and Geoeconomic Fragmentation :   |b Implications for Climate Scenario Design /  |c Charlotte Gardes-Landolfini, Pierpaolo Grippa, William Oman, Sha Yu 
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520 3 |a The transition to a low-carbon economy, which is needed to mitigate climate change and meet the Paris Agreement temperature goals, has been affected by the supply chain and energy supply disruptions that originated during the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the subsequent energy crisis and exacerbation of geopolitical tensions. These developments, and the broader context of the ongoing "polycrisis," can affect future decarbonization scenarios. This reflects three main factors: (1) pullbacks in climate mitigation policies and increased carbon lock-in in fossil fuel infrastructure and policymaking; (2) the decreasing likelihood of continuous cost reduction in renewable energy technologies; and (3) the likely intensification of macroeconomic shocks amid increasing geoeconomic fragmentation, and the associated policy responses. In this context, the note assesses the implications of the polycrisis for hypothetical scenarios used to assess climate-related financial risks. Following an analysis of the channels through which these effects are likely to materialize over short- and long-term horizons and some policy implications, the note proposes potential adjustments to the design of the climate scenarios used by financial institutions, central banks, and financial sector supervisors and regulators within their risk management frameworks 
588 |a Description based on print version record 
650 7 |a Alternative Energy Sources  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Capital and Ownership Structure  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Climate change  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Climate  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Climatic changes  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Currency crises  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Economic sectors  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Economics of specific sectors  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Economics  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Economics: General  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Energy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Energy: General  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Energy: Government Policy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Environment and Growth  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Environment  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Environmental Conservation and Protection  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Environmental Economics  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Environmental Economics: Government Policy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Environmental Policy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Environmental management  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Environmental policy & protocols  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Environmental policy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Financial Forecasting and Simulation  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Financial Risk and Risk Management  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Financial crises  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Financing Policy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Foreign Exchange  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Global Warming  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Globalization: Finance  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Goodwill  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Hydrocarbon Resources  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Informal Economy  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Informal sector  |2 imf 
650 7 |a International Finance Forecasting and Simulation  |2 imf 
650 7 |a International Policy Coordination and Transmission  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Macroeconomics  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Natural Disasters and Their Management  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Natural Resources  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Natural resources  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: General  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Prices  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Renewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Renewable energy sources  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Underground Econom  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Value of Firms  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Grippa, Pierpaolo 
700 1 |a Oman, William 
700 1 |a Yu, Sha 
776 0 8 |i Print Version:  |a Gardes-Landolfini, Charlotte  |t Energy Transition and Geoeconomic Fragmentation: Implications for Climate Scenario Design  |d Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2023.  |z 9798400258268 
830 0 |a IMF eLibrary 
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